Together with an international team of scientists, Professor Daniel Conley at Lund University found that the ‘dead zone' has grown from about 5,000 km2in 1900 to more than 60,000 km2, making it the largest human-induced low oxygen zone in the world.
"While we have known that deeper parts of the Baltic Sea have a lack of oxygen, with our new approach we were able separate the effects of climate, saltwater inflows and nutrients", says Dr. Daniel Conley. "We show that nutrient inputs are the primary cause of the severe hypoxia situation we have today. We also see indications of higher deep water temperatures in recent years that may have had an additional effect."
The researchers developed a new method of using sparse data on oxygen concentrations to determine oxygen trends in the Baltic Sea over the last century. They examined historical oxygen levels in the deep waters, analyzing the different processes that affect oxygen concentrations in bottom water.
Sufficient oxygen in bottom waters is necessary for a well-functioning healthy ecosystem with less algal blooms in the water. The lack of oxygen leads to the death of organisms that live on the bottom. Scientists attribute the increase in hypoxic areas to elevated nutrient levels from the use of fertilizers, large animal farms, the burning of fossil fuels, and effluents from municipal wastewater treatment plants.
"Politicians from around the Baltic Sea must immediately implement the national reductions for nutrients that have been agreed upon in the Baltic Sea Action Plan. If actions are postponed further, the situation in the Baltic Sea will continue to worsen," concludes Daniel Conley.
Daniel Conley is a Professor at the Department of Geology (Geologiska institutionen) at Lund University. His research focuses on the changes that occur in marine systems because of human impact, nutrient inputs and climate.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences:
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Lund University was founded in 1666 and is ranked as one of the top 100 universities in the world. With high-quality education and research at eight faculties, we are one of the most comprehensive universities in Scandinavia. The University has 47000 students and 7000 staff based in Lund, Helsingborg and Malmö. Lund is often considered to be Sweden's most attractive study destination and huge investments are currently being made in the new research facilities MAX IV and ESS in the city.
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